Tuesday, November 20, 2012

21/12/2012 - Mayan world science!


On the eve of the 2012 frequent publications of the Mayan calendar and their gloomy predictions. Most articles speculating on people's fears.
Joseph Frank's book "Atlantis and Maya" is the most comprehensive work in its research activity. In it he presents all viewpoints and interpretations of the subject from a strictly scientific basis.
Frank Joseph is a writer, researcher and expert in ancient civilizations, editor of "Ancient America".
Interest in the winter solstice and any changes to our planet by the end of 2012, predicted by the Mayan growing rapidly. Fateful day discussed the growing number of books, articles in magazines and newspapers, television and other shows, more grabs people's attention. It connects forecast catastrophe that will occur in the form of a major collapse of the traditional economic structures and the environmental fragility of the Earth, caused mainly by modern civilization.
The long winters - "Rise of the earth."
Summary of the book Atlantis and Mayans.
Does the "revolt of the Earth" predicted by the ancient Mesoamericans and predicted to happen in the near future, is a harbinger of universal renovation, as some researchers in the 21st century, or the global crash that believe the Mayans, to be established .
The very title - Rise of the Earth - suggesting that these are the type of environmental disaster for those of us who warn environmentalists and recreates Hollywood movies.
Surely this "revolt of the earth" would be the logical conclusion of the devastating environmental abuse that is inflicted on the planet since the beginning of the industrial revolution.
But controversial scenarios sudden disaster caused by the devastating effects of the global economy are not as likely as the threat to our planet into a new ice age. The latter is prklyuchila around 9500 BC. which means that if you trust paleoclimatologists, now stand on the threshold of the new. Their studies and geological data suggest that the ice ages of the last 100,000 years and are separated from the shorter periods of about 12,000 years.
Some researchers conclude that the last 12 millennia were precisely such a warm period preceding the impending ice age.
If this is true, then resumed gets cold is not only inevitable but will come so suddenly that it is possible to completely paralyze life on Earth.
All paleoklimatologichni data including ice material and sediment samples (layers earth deposits) from the bottom of the oceans, geological, zoological and paleobotanicheskite data indicate that we are on the verge of a new ice age, and it is to occur within a few years.
Dr. Oleg Sorohtin from the Moscow Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences established on the basis of research on climate change over the past 100,000 years, that "there are indications of a coming climax of the Holocene (the current geological epoch) and his sudden change of new ice age in the first half of this century. "
And other Russian climatologists agree. "In the mid-21st century the planet will welcome a new little ice age, similar to the Maunder minima (previous little ice age)" - says Habibulo Abdusamatov, head of the Russian research lab space.
It will be a fact, "because the amount of solar radiation that reaches Earth, a constant decrease since 1990 and will reach its minimum value in 2041."
"Many of the data on which the allegations are based on long-term climatic changes occurring support the thesis that the warm, twelve thousand years long period will end soon and earth will return to Ice Age conditions for the next 100,000 years."
Russian scientists are not the only ones who predicted a new ice age in the near future.
Climatologists from the American West Institute for the Study of Environmental Lebanon, Oregon (a nonprofit organization uniting scientists and environmental associates of exciting theme) agree that the Northern Hemisphere is directly threatened by "crossing an ice regime."
In his memoir "Emergency signal the approaching Ice Age" Peter Harris and John Faraday pay attention to "how geologic data indicate that it is a sudden and extreme long-term change."
In his work "Geological correlations between climate and weather" Geophysical Krol draws attention to how variations in Earth's orbit is affecting climatic cycles.
He is the first scientist who found a positive reflection on the ice opposite amplified radiation of the sun. According to him, during periods of high orbital eccentricity of ice ages become cyclical.
Orbital eccentricity is an important parameter that determines the shape of the orbit and the extent to which it is stretched.
Based on the findings of Adhemar and Croll, Serbian geophysicist Milutin Milankovitch found matching between glacial activity and the change in the geometry of Earth's orbit.
 Milankovitch found that ice ages are dependent on a change in the tilt of the Earth's axis, occurring within 41,000 years of orbital eccentricity (prolixity of the ellipse), which changes over a period of 100,000 years, both precession (change) of equinoxes, or fluctuations in the direction of Earth's axis, observed every 26,000 years.
These cycles determine the amount of solar radiation reaching the planet, and together account for alternating glacial periods with intermittent warming.
Milankovitch findings were greeted with disbelief by the scientific community. But in early 1968 Wallace S. Brokar, a geophysicist at Columbia University, which seven years later coined the term "global warming", found that the exact dating of coral reefs and sediment samples from the ocean floor appears to support the hypothesis Milankovitch. Satellite monitoring of biosphere theory also supports the Serbian geophysicist for solar ice cycles. "These studies indicate the approach of a new ice age."
In 1974 the magazine "Time" writes that "38 ships and 13 aircraft with scientists from 70 countries gathered in the Atlantic and elsewhere to hold 100 multi-day study of the effects of tropical seas and atmosphere on climate the world. "
Observers from various scientific fields, participating in the global study of the atmosphere (Global Atmospheric Research Program - GARP) reached the conclusion that the reduction in sunlight reaching Earth, even one percent can seriously disrupt the climate balance, cause sharp drop in temperatures and the occurrence of the ice age.
While researchers GARP efforts to estimate when it will occur next glaciation, their colleagues from long-term research program, mapping and prediction of climate change (Climate Long-Range Investigation, Mapping, and Prediction - CLIMAP) engage in drilling the bottom crust the ocean, the samples from the last half million years, which acquire confirm explained by Milankovitch cycles of precession, eccentricity and inclination of the Earth's axis. Benchmarks show that icing sometimes start and end too abruptly.

Climate research in the coming decades confirm and deepen the worst forecasts of icing. In 1987, during the implementation of the project in Greenland, using sophisticated probes material was taken over three kilometers below the surface, formed during the last quarter million years. Samples show that each of the ice ages in this period was starting suddenly.
And something comforting!
According to the latest scientific theories missions of carbon dioxide (CO2) will delay the onset of the next ice age.
This established scientists quoted by the BBC.
The last ice age was ended about 11 500 years, and the new is expected to occur after 1500.
"In this situation, however, interglacial period will be extended," said Luke Skinner, head of the team of scientists from universities in Britain, Norway and the U.S., carried out the study.
Through observations of the Earth's orbit and study the composition of certain rocks, they calculated that to begin a new ice, the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere should fall below 240 parts per million. Currently it is 390 ppm.
Recent studies have shown that even if emissions are stopped immediately and completely, the concentration of carbon particles will remain relatively high for at least 1,000 years.
Furthermore, the ocean is warm enough to melt polar ice and raise their level.

So far, the Earth was five glacial eras. Currently, the planet is getting warmer because of greenhouse gases, which continues to grow.
Obviously, science does not have much time to prove or refute a theory because the fateful date 21/12/2012 is coming!
On 21 December it will become clear what scientists are entitled to and what not!


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